Should You Grade Koga's Arbok (1st Edition)?
Gym Challenge · #25
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$16.96
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-2.57
Estimated profit$-19.53
Estimated return-50%
Break-even sell price$1.31
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$7.27
$-31.69 (-81%)
PSA 8
$30.50
$-8.46 (-22%)
PSA 9
$46.86
+$7.90 (20%)
PSA 10
$156.52
+$117.56 (302%)
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