Should You Grade Lana's Fishing Rod?
Cosmic Eclipse · #266
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$9.93
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$1.43
Estimated profit$-8.50
Estimated return-27%
Break-even sell price$-10.46
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$6.11
$-25.82 (-81%)
PSA 9
$39.99
+$8.06 (25%)
PSA 10
$59.85
+$27.92 (87%)
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