Does Lance have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-9.46 for Lance — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Lance?

Our model estimates approximately -35% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $5.10, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-9.46. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Lance?

Silver Tempest · #192

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$5.10

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-4.36

Estimated profit$-9.46

Estimated return-35%

Break-even sell price$-22.17

Profit by Grade

PSA 8 $3.25 $-23.85 (-88%)

PSA 9 $11.02 $-16.08 (-59%)