Does Light Golduck (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-18.51 for Light Golduck (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Light Golduck (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -57% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $10.64, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-18.51. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Light Golduck (1st Edition)?

Neo Destiny · #47

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$10.64

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-7.87

Estimated profit$-18.51

Estimated return-57%

Break-even sell price$-7.60

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $14.00 $-18.64 (-57%)

PSA 8 $23.18 $-9.46 (-29%)