Should You Grade Lillie's Determination?
Mega Evolution · #169
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$22.04
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-3.66
Estimated profit$-25.70
Estimated return-58%
Break-even sell price$-12.42
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$13.51
$-30.53 (-69%)
PSA 8
$17.78
$-26.26 (-60%)
PSA 9
$20.38
$-23.66 (-54%)
PSA 10
$53.54
+$9.50 (22%)
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