Does Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $0.09 for Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately 0% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $12.62, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $0.09. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition)?

Gym Challenge · #84

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$12.62

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$12.71

Estimated profit$0.09

Estimated return0%

Break-even sell price$30.07

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $15.54 $-19.08 (-55%)

PSA 7 $37.22 +$2.60 (8%)