Should You Grade Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition)?
Gym Challenge · #84
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Full disclaimer
Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$12.62
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$12.71
Estimated profit$0.09
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$30.07
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$15.54
$-19.08 (-55%)
PSA 7
$37.22
+$2.60 (8%)
PSA 8
$50.16
+$15.54 (45%)
PSA 9
$56.94
+$22.32 (64%)
PSA 10
$556.33
+$521.71 (1507%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 1% — grading EV is $12.71 vs $12.62 raw.
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