Does Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-4.85 for Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -12% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $18.27, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-4.85. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Lt. Surge's Pikachu (1st Edition)?

Gym Heroes · #81

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$18.27

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$13.42

Estimated profit$-4.85

Estimated return-12%

Break-even sell price$28.25

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $21.87 $-18.40 (-46%)

PSA 8 $33.30 $-6.97 (-17%)