Should You Grade Lucky Stadium?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #41
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$1597.67
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$1122.24
Estimated profit$-475.43
Estimated return-29%
Break-even sell price$1316.67
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$900.00
$-719.67 (-44%)
PSA 7
$1243.54
$-376.13 (-23%)
PSA 8
$1341.52
$-278.15 (-17%)
PSA 9
$1967.92
+$348.25 (22%)
PSA 10
$3835.19
+$2215.52 (137%)
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