Should You Grade Lugia?
Aquapolis · #149
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Full disclaimer
Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$4369.25
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$6283.96
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$5845.54
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$3640.97
$-750.28 (-17%)
PSA 7
$4290.58
$-100.67 (-2%)
PSA 8
$7417.56
+$3026.31 (69%)
PSA 9
$9107.32
+$4716.07 (107%)
PSA 10
$10107.58
+$5716.33 (130%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 44% — grading EV is $6283.96 vs $4369.25 raw.
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