Does Lugia (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-17.17 for Lugia (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Lugia (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -15% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $91.03, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-17.17. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Lugia (1st Edition)?

Neo Revelation · #20

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$91.03

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$73.86

Estimated profit$-17.17

Estimated return-15%

Break-even sell price$117.91

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $40.82 $-72.21 (-64%)

PSA 7 $79.03 $-34.00 (-30%)