Should You Grade Lugia?
Unseen Forces · #29
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV positive
Our model estimate: +$63.78 (71% estimated return)
Expected Value
Raw price$67.69
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$131.47
Estimated profit$63.78
Estimated return71%
Break-even sell price$262.66
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$48.97
$-40.72 (-45%)
PSA 7
$63.50
$-26.19 (-29%)
PSA 8
$154.83
+$65.14 (73%)
PSA 9
$175.40
+$85.71 (96%)
PSA 10
$4367.74
+$4278.05 (4770%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 94% — grading EV is $131.47 vs $67.69 raw.
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