Should You Grade Misty's Golduck (1st Edition)?
Gym Challenge · #12
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$100.31
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$172.72
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$269.86
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$102.86
$-19.45 (-16%)
PSA 8
$173.15
+$50.84 (42%)
PSA 9
$427.67
+$305.36 (250%)
PSA 10
$2343.10
+$2220.79 (1816%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 72% — grading EV is $172.72 vs $100.31 raw.
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