Does Misty's Magikarp (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-1.79 for Misty's Magikarp (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Misty's Magikarp (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -5% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $11.53, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-1.79. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Misty's Magikarp (1st Edition)?

Gym Challenge · #88

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$11.53

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$9.74

Estimated profit$-1.79

Estimated return-5%

Break-even sell price$29.14

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $14.68 $-18.85 (-56%)

PSA 7 $19.05 $-14.48 (-43%)