Does Misty's Poliwag (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $0.00 for Misty's Poliwag (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Misty's Poliwag (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately 0% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $6.46, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $0.00. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Misty's Poliwag (1st Edition)?

Gym Heroes · #87

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$6.46

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-13.41

Estimated profit$0.00

Estimated return0%

Break-even sell price$-14.20

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $9.99 $-18.47 (-65%)

PSA 7 $11.91 $-16.55 (-58%)