Does Misty's Poliwhirl (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-21.02 for Misty's Poliwhirl (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Misty's Poliwhirl (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -66% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $9.90, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-21.02. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Misty's Poliwhirl (1st Edition)?

Gym Heroes · #53

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$9.90

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-11.12

Estimated profit$-21.02

Estimated return-66%

Break-even sell price$-8.92

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $6.00 $-25.90 (-81%)

PSA 8 $9.60 $-22.30 (-70%)