Does Misty's Poliwrath (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-19.55 for Misty's Poliwrath (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Misty's Poliwrath (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -40% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $26.47, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-19.55. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Misty's Poliwrath (1st Edition)?

Gym Heroes · #31

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$26.47

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$6.92

Estimated profit$-19.55

Estimated return-40%

Break-even sell price$10.68

Profit by Grade

PSA 8 $22.26 $-26.21 (-54%)

PSA 9 $59.99 +$11.52 (24%)