Does Misty's Psyduck (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-3.74 for Misty's Psyduck (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Misty's Psyduck (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -9% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $18.39, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-3.74. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Misty's Psyduck (1st Edition)?

Gym Challenge · #90

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$18.39

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$14.65

Estimated profit$-3.74

Estimated return-9%

Break-even sell price$34.86

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $15.51 $-24.88 (-62%)

PSA 7 $34.70 $-5.69 (-14%)