Does Misty's Psyduck (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-10.20 for Misty's Psyduck (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Misty's Psyduck (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -25% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $19.50, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-10.20. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Misty's Psyduck (1st Edition)?

Gym Heroes · #54

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$19.50

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$9.30

Estimated profit$-10.20

Estimated return-25%

Break-even sell price$16.45

Profit by Grade

PSA 8 $21.14 $-20.36 (-49%)

PSA 9 $65.00 +$23.50 (57%)