Does Nihilego have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-8.87 for Nihilego — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Nihilego?

Our model estimates approximately -26% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $12.11, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-8.87. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Nihilego?

Lost Thunder · #106

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$12.11

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$3.24

Estimated profit$-8.87

Estimated return-26%

Break-even sell price$-11.80

Profit by Grade

PSA 9 $8.90 $-25.21 (-74%)

PSA 10 $84.98 +$50.87 (149%)