Should You Grade Ninetales ex?
151 · #186
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$15.53
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$18.66
Estimated profit$3.13
Estimated return8%
Break-even sell price$-12.80
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$8.09
$-29.44 (-78%)
PSA 8
$13.67
$-23.86 (-64%)
PSA 9
$24.48
$-13.05 (-35%)
PSA 10
$93.68
+$56.15 (150%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 20% — grading EV is $18.66 vs $15.53 raw.
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