Does Octillery (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-15.96 for Octillery (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Octillery (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -57% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $5.97, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-15.96. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Octillery (1st Edition)?

Neo Revelation · #34

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$5.97

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-9.99

Estimated profit$-15.96

Estimated return-57%

Break-even sell price$-8.16

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $12.71 $-15.26 (-55%)

PSA 8 $14.76 $-13.21 (-47%)