Should You Grade Onix?
Unseen Forces · #65
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$22.65
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$7.26
Estimated profit$-15.39
Estimated return-34%
Break-even sell price$12.49
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$19.39
$-25.26 (-57%)
PSA 9
$68.84
+$24.19 (54%)
PSA 10
$177.59
+$132.94 (298%)
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