Should You Grade Pheromosa?
Forbidden Light · #11
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$6.90
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$3.66
Estimated profit$-3.24
Estimated return-11%
Break-even sell price$-8.28
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$7.50
$-21.40 (-74%)
PSA 9
$32.50
+$3.60 (12%)
PSA 10
$67.72
+$38.82 (134%)
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