Does Pichu have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-3.82 for Pichu — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Pichu?

Our model estimates approximately -12% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $9.50, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-3.82. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Pichu?

Arceus · #25

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$9.50

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$5.68

Estimated profit$-3.82

Estimated return-12%

Break-even sell price$8.56

Profit by Grade

PSA 9 $22.23 $-9.27 (-29%)

PSA 10 $166.70 +$135.20 (429%)