Should You Grade Pichu?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #35
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$46.80
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$38.91
Estimated profit$-7.89
Estimated return-11%
Break-even sell price$54.71
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$62.50
$-6.30 (-9%)
PSA 8
$60.00
$-8.80 (-13%)
PSA 9
$89.74
+$20.94 (30%)
PSA 10
$594.41
+$525.61 (764%)
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