Does Pikachu have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-8.78 for Pikachu — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Pikachu?

Our model estimates approximately -25% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $12.78, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-8.78. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Pikachu?

Emerald · #60

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$12.78

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$4.00

Estimated profit$-8.78

Estimated return-25%

Break-even sell price$20.79

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $14.50 $-20.28 (-58%)

PSA 7 $15.54 $-19.24 (-55%)