Does Pikachu have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-8.90 for Pikachu — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Pikachu?

Our model estimates approximately -29% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $8.31, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-8.90. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Pikachu?

FireRed & LeafGreen · #74

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$8.31

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-0.59

Estimated profit$-8.90

Estimated return-29%

Break-even sell price$8.98

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $7.65 $-22.66 (-75%)

PSA 7 $24.39 $-5.92 (-20%)