Should You Grade Pikachu?
SM Black Star Promos · #SM183
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV positive
Our model estimate: +$7.45 (22% estimated return)
Expected Value
Raw price$11.23
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$18.68
Estimated profit$7.45
Estimated return22%
Break-even sell price$-3.05
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$7.11
$-26.12 (-79%)
PSA 8
$19.67
$-13.56 (-41%)
PSA 9
$39.48
+$6.25 (19%)
PSA 10
$183.71
+$150.48 (453%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 66% — grading EV is $18.68 vs $11.23 raw.
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