Should You Grade Pikachu?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #1
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Full disclaimer
Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$15.07
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$17.62
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$38.22
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$24.01
$-13.06 (-35%)
PSA 8
$33.21
$-3.86 (-10%)
PSA 9
$61.41
+$24.34 (66%)
PSA 10
$758.11
+$721.04 (1945%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 17% — grading EV is $17.62 vs $15.07 raw.
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