Should You Grade Pikachu?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #26
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$80.09
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$41.54
Estimated profit$-38.55
Estimated return-38%
Break-even sell price$73.16
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$16.22
$-85.87 (-84%)
PSA 7
$53.69
$-48.40 (-47%)
PSA 8
$54.03
$-48.06 (-47%)
PSA 9
$133.50
+$31.41 (31%)
PSA 10
$1022.50
+$920.41 (902%)
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