Should You Grade Pikachu?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #4
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$25.71
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$21.90
Estimated profit$-3.81
Estimated return-8%
Break-even sell price$47.37
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$26.75
$-20.96 (-44%)
PSA 7
$30.32
$-17.39 (-36%)
PSA 8
$51.68
+$3.97 (8%)
PSA 9
$61.87
+$14.16 (30%)
PSA 10
$914.66
+$866.95 (1817%)
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