Does Poliwag (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-8.86 for Poliwag (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Poliwag (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -20% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $22.39, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-8.86. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Poliwag (1st Edition)?

Base Set · #59

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$22.39

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$13.53

Estimated profit$-8.86

Estimated return-20%

Break-even sell price$28.65

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $10.54 $-33.85 (-76%)

PSA 7 $39.29 $-5.10 (-11%)