Does Poliwag have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-0.63 for Poliwag — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Poliwag?

Our model estimates approximately -2% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $19.32, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-0.63. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Poliwag?

Skyridge · #87

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$19.32

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$18.69

Estimated profit$-0.63

Estimated return-2%

Break-even sell price$1.31

Profit by Grade

PSA 9 $21.37 $-19.95 (-48%)

PSA 10 $116.20 +$74.88 (181%)