Does Ponyta (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-12.26 for Ponyta (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Ponyta (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -27% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $23.23, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-12.26. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Ponyta (1st Edition)?

Base Set · #60

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$23.23

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$10.97

Estimated profit$-12.26

Estimated return-27%

Break-even sell price$27.05

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $13.99 $-31.24 (-69%)

PSA 7 $21.36 $-23.87 (-53%)