Should You Grade Poppy?
Obsidian Flames · #227
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$5.44
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$3.49
Estimated profit$-1.95
Estimated return-7%
Break-even sell price$-22.12
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$7.14
$-20.30 (-74%)
PSA 8
$8.11
$-19.33 (-70%)
PSA 10
$46.10
+$18.66 (68%)
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