Should You Grade Porygon-Z?
Paradox Rift · #214
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$10.68
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$14.73
Estimated profit$4.05
Estimated return12%
Break-even sell price$-12.43
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$15.22
$-17.46 (-53%)
PSA 9
$16.15
$-16.53 (-51%)
PSA 10
$83.89
+$51.21 (157%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 38% — grading EV is $14.73 vs $10.68 raw.
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