Should You Grade Rare Candy?
Guardians Rising · #165
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$28.18
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$5.62
Estimated profit$-22.56
Estimated return-45%
Break-even sell price$-2.29
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$8.75
$-41.43 (-83%)
PSA 8
$36.99
$-13.19 (-26%)
PSA 9
$40.91
$-9.27 (-18%)
PSA 10
$53.85
+$3.67 (7%)
Similar Price, Better ROI
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