Should You Grade Rare Candy?
Scarlet & Violet · #256
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$7.98
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-0.22
Estimated profit$-8.20
Estimated return-27%
Break-even sell price$-18.10
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$8.00
$-21.98 (-73%)
PSA 8
$11.48
$-18.50 (-62%)
PSA 9
$15.49
$-14.49 (-48%)
PSA 10
$49.98
+$20.00 (67%)
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