Should You Grade Saguaro?
Paldea Evolved · #270
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$13.53
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$14.76
Estimated profit$1.23
Estimated return3%
Break-even sell price$-11.36
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$14.51
$-21.02 (-59%)
PSA 8
$17.62
$-17.91 (-50%)
PSA 9
$22.20
$-13.33 (-38%)
PSA 10
$82.54
+$47.01 (132%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 9% — grading EV is $14.76 vs $13.53 raw.
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