Should You Grade Sawsbuck?
Temporal Forces · #166
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$38.03
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$39.67
Estimated profit$1.64
Estimated return3%
Break-even sell price$3.26
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$28.80
$-31.23 (-52%)
PSA 9
$35.38
$-24.65 (-41%)
PSA 10
$126.51
+$66.48 (111%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 4% — grading EV is $39.67 vs $38.03 raw.
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