Should You Grade Secret Box?
Twilight Masquerade · #163
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$8.78
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$-14.34
Estimated profit$0.00
Estimated return0%
Break-even sell price$-24.09
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$5.51
$-25.27 (-82%)
PSA 9
$5.95
$-24.83 (-81%)
PSA 10
$20.40
$-10.38 (-34%)
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