Does Serena have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-0.70 for Serena — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Serena?

Our model estimates approximately -2% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $14.35, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-0.70. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Serena?

Silver Tempest · #193

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$14.35

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$13.65

Estimated profit$-0.70

Estimated return-2%

Break-even sell price$-11.91

Profit by Grade

PSA 7 $13.52 $-22.83 (-63%)

PSA 8 $17.33 $-19.02 (-52%)