Should You Grade Shiftry?
Temporal Forces · #163
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$7.02
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$8.83
Estimated profit$1.81
Estimated return6%
Break-even sell price$-14.55
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$10.38
$-18.64 (-64%)
PSA 9
$20.00
$-9.02 (-31%)
PSA 10
$66.94
+$37.92 (131%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 26% — grading EV is $8.83 vs $7.02 raw.
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