Should You Grade Smeargle?
HS—Undaunted · #8
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$7.82
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$12.56
Estimated profit$4.74
Estimated return16%
Break-even sell price$21.18
Profit by Grade
PSA 8
$32.00
+$2.18 (7%)
PSA 9
$60.00
+$30.18 (101%)
PSA 10
$277.31
+$247.49 (830%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 61% — grading EV is $12.56 vs $7.82 raw.
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