Does Smeargle (1st Edition) have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-23.89 for Smeargle (1st Edition) — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Smeargle (1st Edition)?

Our model estimates approximately -66% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $13.97, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-23.89. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Smeargle (1st Edition)?

Neo Discovery · #30

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$13.97

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-9.92

Estimated profit$-23.89

Estimated return-66%

Break-even sell price$-9.61

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $10.50 $-25.47 (-71%)

PSA 8 $16.35 $-19.62 (-55%)