Does Smeargle have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-25.60 for Smeargle — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Smeargle?

Our model estimates approximately -67% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $15.93, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-25.60. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Smeargle?

Neo Discovery · #30

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$15.93

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-9.67

Estimated profit$-25.60

Estimated return-67%

Break-even sell price$-9.55

Profit by Grade

PSA 6 $10.50 $-27.43 (-72%)

PSA 8 $16.35 $-21.58 (-57%)