Should You Grade Steelix?
Neo Genesis · #15
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$16.94
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$20.55
Estimated profit$3.61
Estimated return9%
Break-even sell price$37.63
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$27.87
$-11.07 (-28%)
PSA 8
$54.12
+$15.18 (39%)
PSA 9
$88.11
+$49.17 (126%)
PSA 10
$342.93
+$303.99 (781%)
Undervalued
This card is undervalued by 21% — grading EV is $20.55 vs $16.94 raw.
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