Should You Grade Surfing Pikachu?
Wizards Black Star Promos · #28
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$35.91
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$26.50
Estimated profit$-9.41
Estimated return-16%
Break-even sell price$50.72
Profit by Grade
PSA 6
$32.43
$-25.48 (-44%)
PSA 7
$39.27
$-18.64 (-32%)
PSA 8
$47.66
$-10.25 (-18%)
PSA 9
$101.36
+$43.45 (75%)
PSA 10
$768.23
+$710.32 (1227%)
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