Does Surprise Box have positive grading EV?

Based on current pricing, our model estimates a negative grading EV of $-11.98 for Surprise Box — grading costs currently exceed the estimated PSA-10 premium. This is a model estimate based on historical data, not investment advice.

What is the estimated grading EV for Surprise Box?

Our model estimates approximately -41% return after grading costs, based on historical grade distributions and recent sold comps. Raw price: $7.39, estimated grading cost: ~$22.00, estimated EV: $-11.98. Estimates are informational, not investment advice; trading cards are not securities.

Should You Grade Surprise Box?

Unbroken Bonds · #187

Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed. Methodology · Full disclaimer

Estimated grading EV negative

Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium

Expected Value

Raw price$7.39

Grading cost~$22.00

Blended EV$-4.59

Estimated profit$-11.98

Estimated return-41%

Break-even sell price$-12.38

Profit by Grade

PSA 9 $17.26 $-12.13 (-41%)

PSA 10 $40.00 +$10.61 (36%)