Should You Grade Timburr?
Twilight Masquerade · #183
Expected-value figures are estimates based on historical grade distributions and market prices. Not a recommendation. Grading outcomes and market prices are not guaranteed.
Methodology
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Estimated grading EV negative
Current grading costs exceed model estimate of PSA 10 premium
Expected Value
Raw price$5.85
Grading cost~$22.00
Blended EV$3.99
Estimated profit$-1.86
Estimated return-7%
Break-even sell price$-19.56
Profit by Grade
PSA 7
$3.25
$-24.60 (-88%)
PSA 8
$5.84
$-22.01 (-79%)
PSA 9
$19.17
$-8.68 (-31%)
PSA 10
$61.25
+$33.40 (120%)
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